by Dong Huang, Dingxiu He, Linjing Gong, Wen Wang, Lei Yang,
Zhongwei Zhang, Yujun Shi and Zongan Liang
Critical Care volume 25,
Article number: 419 (2021) Published: 07
December 2021
Background
The present study was performed to investigate the impacts
of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on severe community-acquired pneumonia
(SCAP) and to develop a novel prediction model for mortality in SCAP patients
with T2DM.
Methods
This was a retrospective observational study conducted in
consecutive adult patients with SCAP admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU)
of West China Hospital, Sichuan University, China, between September 2011 and
September 2019. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. A propensity score
matching (PSM) analysis model with a 1:2 ratio was used for the comparisons of
clinical characteristics and outcomes between T2DM and nondiabetic patients.
The independent risk factors were identified via univariate and then
multivariable logistic regression analysis and were then used to establish a
nomogram.
Results
In total, 1262 SCAP patients with T2DM and 2524 matched
patients without T2DM were included after PSM. Patients with T2DM had
longer ICU length of stay (LOS) (13 vs. 12 days, P = 0.016) and
higher 14-day mortality (15% vs. 10.8%, P < 0.001), 30-day mortality
(25.7% vs. 22.7%, P = 0.046), ICU mortality (30.8% vs. 26.5%, P = 0.005),
and hospital mortality (35.2% vs. 31.0%, P = 0.009) than those without
T2DM. In SCAP patients with T2DM, the independent risk factors for hospital
mortality were increased numbers of comorbidities and diabetes-related
complications; elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophil to lymphocyte
ratio (NLR), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and blood lactate; as well as
decreased blood pressure on admission. The nomogram had a C index of 0.907 (95%
CI: 0.888, 0.927) in the training set and 0.873 (95% CI: 0.836, 0.911) in the
testing set, which was superior to the pneumonia severity index (PSI, AUC:
0.809, 95% CI: 0.785, 0.833). The calibration curve and decision curve analysis
(DCA) also demonstrated its accuracy and applicability.
Conclusions
SCAP patients with T2DM had worse clinical outcomes than
nondiabetic patients. The nomogram has good predictive performance for hospital
mortality and might be generally applied after more external validations.
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