by Redfern, Oliver
C.; Smith, Gary B.; Prytherch, David R.; Meredith, Paul; Inada-Kim, Matthew;
Schmidt, Paul E.
Objectives: The
Sepsis-3 task force recommended the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ
Failure Assessment score for identifying patients with suspected infection who
are at greater risk of poor outcomes, but many hospitals already use the
National Early Warning Score to identify high-risk patients, irrespective of
diagnosis. We sought to compare the performance of quick Sequential
(Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment and National Early Warning Score in
hospitalized, non-ICU patients with and without an infection. Design:
Retrospective cohort study.
Setting: Large
U.K. General Hospital. Patients: Adults hospitalized between January 1, 2010,
and February 1, 2016. Interventions: None.
Measurements and Main Results: We applied the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related)
Organ Failure Assessment score and National Early Warning Score to 5,435,344
vital signs sets (241,996 hospital admissions). Patients were categorized as
having no infection, primary infection, or secondary infection using
International Classification of Diseases, 10th Edition codes. National Early
Warning Score was significantly better at discriminating in-hospital mortality,
irrespective of infection status (no infection, National Early Warning Score
0.831 [0.825–0.838] vs quick Sequential [Sepsis-Related] Organ Failure
Assessment 0.688 [0.680–0.695]; primary infection, National Early Warning Score
0.805 [0.799–0.812] vs quick Sequential [Sepsis-Related] Organ Failure
Assessment 0.677 [0.670–0.685]). Similarly, National Early Warning Score
performed significantly better in all patient groups (all admissions, emergency
medicine admissions, and emergency surgery admissions) for all outcomes
studied. Overall, quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment
performed no better, and often worse, in admissions with infection than
without.
Conclusions: The
National Early Warning Score outperforms the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related)
Organ Failure Assessment score, irrespective of infection status. These findings
suggest that quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment should
be reevaluated as the system of choice for identifying non-ICU patients with
suspected infection who are at greater risk of poor outcome.